As the weather cools, the sports calendar heats up. With the regular season nearing its finish line, Sunday’s NFL slate carries added weight across the board as playoff races tighten and margin for error disappears. Division titles, wild-card positioning and draft implications all collide in a pivotal Week 16. Here are tonight’s best bets brought to you by BetOnline.ag. Click here to join. All new players get a 50% welcome bonus and up to $250 in free bets.
First Pick: Over 50.5 Points
Rundown: The Los Angeles Chargers (10-4) look to extend their win streak to four as they travel to AT&T Stadium for a matchup with the Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1).
Los Angeles enters Week 16 fresh off a 16-13 win over the division-rival Kansas City Chiefs, eliminating them from playoff contention. A game-ending interception by Derwin James sealed the victory for Jim Harbaugh's Chargers, clinching the first season sweep of Kansas City since 2013. The Chargers have won six of their last seven games and are primed to return to the postseason for a second consecutive year. Los Angeles’ success has been largely credited to the defense, which has allowed 21 points or fewer in nine of the team’s 10 wins. The secondary of Los Angeles, who has allowed the third-fewest pass yards per game (174.4) in the NFL this season will be tested by the league’s best aerial attack.
Dallas enters its final home game of the season after being officially eliminated from playoff contention following Philadelphia’s win over Washington on Saturday. The Cowboys’ defense has remained the Achilles’ heel in 2025, allowing the second-most points per game in the NFL at 30.0, trailing only the 4-10 Cincinnati Bengals. In back-to-back losses to Detroit and Minnesota, Dallas surrendered a combined 78 points, resulting in their playoff hopes fading away. Dak Prescott and the Dallas offense have countered the subpar defense by owning the league’s best passing attack, averaging 276.1 yards per game through the air. Standout first-year Cowboy wide receiver George Pickens has produced 1,212 receiving yards in 14 games.
Keep an eye on Los Angeles jumping out to an early lead and forcing Prescott and the offense to play from behind, setting the stage for a high-scoring contest that exceeds the projected point total.
Second Pick: Texans -14
Rundown: The Las Vegas Raiders (2-12) travel to NRG Stadium to face the surging Houston Texans (9-5) in a battle between AFC squads heading in opposite directions.
Las Vegas enters as one of the biggest disappointments of the NFL season, winning just one game in the last 13 weeks. The subpar play on the field has translated to the betting window, covering the spread in just five of 14 contests. Las Vegas’ league worst scoring offense, which averages 14.0 points per game, has failed to score more than 17 points in each of its last five matchups. Kenny Pickett is set for his second start after taking over the starting role last week in Philadelphia. Last week’s 31-0 beatdown exemplified a lackluster roster, one that is incapable of competing with quality opponents. The opposition this week – the ferocious defense of the Houston Texans.
Since beginning the season 0-3, Houston has been one of the hottest teams in the NFL, winning nine of its next 11 to put them just one game back of the AFC South leading Jacksonville Jaguars. Houston’s defensive unit ranks No. 1 in the NFL in points allowed, surrendering 16.3 per game behind a defensive line headlined by Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter. The Texans recent success has carried over to the spread, covering in four consecutive matchups. The connection between quarterback C.J. Stroud and star wide receiver Nico Collins has been a focal point for the Houston offense, with the wideout hauling in 85 yards and two touchdowns in last week’s win over the Arizona Cardinals.
Expect Houston’s defense to suffocate the Las Vegas offense, extending their win streak to seven in a convincing home victory.